Richer Wiser Happier --W Green
REVIEW of RICHER, WISER, HAPPIER—W Green
Interestingly, I thought this book was a self-help book, and
I suppose in the broadest sense of the word it is. The author I had come across
on various podcasts and thought he talked about himself too much. I read that Munger
liked this book, and knowing how discerning CM is I thought I would give it a
whirl. The book is beautifully written and speaks to the author's writing
skills (I wish I could write that well). The book is based on a series of
interviews and commentary about famous investors. The difference from other
books that do similar things is that the commentary peels back the human side, strengths,
and weaknesses of the subjects. There can be some constructive criticism as well
as old-style criticism, lol. That makes it quite interesting, especially to me,
who comes from this industry.
The Man who cloned Warren Buffet-M Pabrai
Humans have something weird about them that prohibits them from
adopting good ideas easily.
Investing is about waiting for those rare moments when the
odds of making money vastly outweigh the odds of losing it. Then be decisive. Insto investors feel they need to show
activity. Extreme patience is required.
Really successful people say no to almost everything.
13F filings of Buffet, Einhorn, Weschler, Klarman are
studied.
Business must be simple and understandable. No IPO’s or
start ups. If too hard pass.
Judge yourself by an inner scorecard. Don’t worry about what
the world thinks of you.
What investors really care about is having independence.
Hang out with people
who are better than you.
Treat life as a game, not a survival contest or a battle to the
death.
Be aligned with who you are. Live by an inner scorecard.
Too often we encounter a powerful principle or habit then
discard and forget about it, consume and live by it.
The willingness to be lonely-J Templeton
Being unemotional and numerate is a great combination for
investing.
For a contrarian investor, it would be catastrophic if you
were constantly burdened by the awareness of what everybody else was thinking
about your decision.
Everything changes – H Marks
Judge the amount of optimism that is in the price.
Market euphoria, the extreme brevity of the financial
memory. History counts for so little in finance.
The importance of admitting that we can’t predict or control
the future.
The inevitability of cycles. The possibility of using
cyclicality to our advantage.
Need for humility, scepticism and prudence.
Both in markets and in life, the goal is not to embrace risk
or eschew it, but to bear it intelligently while never forgetting the
possibility of an unpleasant outcome.
Build unfragile portfolios and lives, that are unlikely to
collapse even in dire conditions.
The level of risk you take on must be in accordance with your
emotional resilience.
Freedom comes from clearly knowing that everything is ephemeral
and training ourselves to stop grasping at what is inherently unstable.
What you accomplish is not the only important thing, it's also
important how you do it.
You have to break the chain of getting and wanting, an
aimless cycle of craving that leads inevitably to suffering.
The resilient Investor –JM Eveillard
Worked alone for years, he enjoyed from critical advantage:
he had the institutional latitude to go his own way.
Because the world is uncertain,
you want to minimise your risk
Buffet – What is needed for long-term investment success is
a sound intellectual framework for making decisions for making decisions and the
ability to keep emotions from corroding that framework.
To lag in performance is to suffer psychologically. Investing
is hard, it is infinitely harder if you are also barraged by external pressures
from shareholders jumping ship, colleagues with their own commercial agenda,
and bosses who lose faith in you at precisely the wrong moment. –lol
Individual investors have the advantage of not being
answerable to the above.
Preserving capital and making reasonable returns over the LT
will surpass any gamblers.
Explaining investment success is more fun than telling tales
of bold bets that paid off rather than droning on about accidents that never happened.
Build a portfolio that can endure various states of the world.
Beware of “return envy” and FOMO as clouding your judgment.
Patience and humility are required as well as risk mitigation.
Fives rules. 1. Respect uncertainty, 2. Achieve resilience
by less debt and low expenses, 3. Withstand shocks, 4. Beware of complacency and
overconfidence. 5. Do not allow awareness of risk to make us fearful,
pessimistic or paranoid.
Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication—J Greenblatt
Figure out what something is worth and pay a lot less. Once you
realise that is your entire mission its incredibly liberating.
JG uses 4 standard valuation methods, 1 DCF, 2. Relative value
versus peers, 3. Acquisition value, ie what an informed buyer is willing to
pay, 4. Liquidation value. Im a firm believer that in 90% of the cases the
market will recognise that value within 2-3 years.
Weigh the odds on each investment upside v downside. JG
makes money from asymmetrical bets.
JG has concentrated in corporate restructures, spin-offs, bankruptcy
re-emerging companies.
I don’t buy the ones that I can make the most money on I buy
the ones that I cant lose money on.
Buy good businesses at a bargain price—stick to this
strategy. High ROE, low PE. You not only need a strategy you need to apply it consistently
even when that is uncomfortable. No strategy works all the time.
The greatest enemy of a good plan is the dream of a perfect
plan. Your strategy should be simple and logical so that you understand it,
believe it to your core, and can stick with it even in the difficult times when
it no longer seems to work.
Nick and Zacs Excellent Adventure—N Sleep, Q Zakaria
Zen and the art of motorcycle maintenance: an inquiry into
values.
If management is thinking rationally and thinking about the
long term, you can subcontract the capital allocation decisions to them. You don’t
have to be buying and selling shares.
Pursue quality in life and in investing.
Focus on whatever has the longest shelf life and down play the
ephemeral.
Shared-scale economies can generate sustainable wealth over
long periods.
Mistakes in life and in the market come from instant
gratification, checking impulses is a superpower.
They have focussed on clients with a long-term perspective. Shunned
sell-side analysts and consultants.
Systematically resist the external and internal forces that
push us to act impetuously.
High Performance Habits—T Gaynor
Extreme changes are not sustainable, moderate incremental
changes are.
Look for good returns on capital with little leverage, and management
that is talented and has integrity. Opportunity to reinvest at handsome
returns. Available at a reasonable price. Outstanding businesses with leaders
who are creative, adaptable, visionary and have enormous courage.
Make your mistakes non-fatal. You don’t need extremes to achieve
exceptional results. Take the middle ground in everything.
The Middle Way -Finding happiness in a world of extremes—L Marinoff
You cannot control the outcome, you can only control the
effort and the dedication of putting 100% in, whatever happens, happens.
Ed note do you more like evolve your investing style over
time rather than change it
Good investors focus on what they are best at and what is
most important to them.
It is worth writing down a list of beneficial habits that
should be part of our daily routine. But its equally valuable to compile a Do
Not Do list, reminding us of all the ingenious ways in which we habitually distract
or undermine ourselves.
Don’t be a Fool- C Munger.
Sometimes its easier to invert the problem, ask what would guarantee
a poor outcome and don’t do those things rather than ask what would likely give
a good outcome.
Prescriptions for guaranteed misery in life, being
unreliable, avoiding compromise, harbour resentments, seeking revenge, indulging
in envy, ingest chemicals, becoming addicted to alcohol, neglecting to learn
vicariously from the good and bad experiences of others, clinging defiantly to
their existing beliefs, and stay down after struck by the first, second or
third severe reverse in the battle of life.
Imagine a dreadful outcome and work backwards by asking yourself
what misguided actions might lead you to that sorry fate, and then scrupulously
avoid that elf-destructing behaviour.
Don’t pay too much, don’t go for businesses that are prone
to obsolescence and destruction, don’t invest with crooks and idiots, don’t invest
in things you don’t understand. Stay away from your ignorance. Refrain from
being too public with your holdings because that makes it harder to change your
mind and admit you are wrong.
You are left with a portfolio of undervalued,
understandable, financially stable, profitable, and growing businesses run by honest
people.
Acknowledge errors, learn lessons and move forward without
wallowing in regret.
Know what you own, and avert obvious errors with the potential
for catastrophic consequences. Always think
about your limitations.
Adopt for few standard practices and unbendable rules for
reducing stupidity.
Our judgement is frequently torpedoed by emotions such as
greed, fear, jealousy, and impatience; by prejudices that distort our
perception of reality; by our susceptibility to serpentine sales pitches and
peer pressure; and by our habit of acting on flawed or incomplete information. –articulating
these issues is east internalising is not, but essential, because the most
enduring advantages are psychological.
The reluctance to re-examine our views and change our minds
is one of the greatest impediments to rational thinking. Instead of keeping an
open mind, we tend to prioritise information consciously and unconsciously and
reinforce what we believe. Seek out disconfirming evidence. The willingness to
seek out the discovery of our errors is an inestimable advantage.
1.
Rewrite cognitive errors in your own words.
2.
Checklist of past investing errors highlighting
the tendencies to which you are especially vulnerable.
3.
Strive to disprove your hypothesis, certain
evidence can support multiple hypotheses. Devils advocate reviews, premortems,
engage sceptics
4.
Adopt systematic analytical procedures.
The scientific literature shows that hunger, anger,
loneliness, tiredness, pain and stress are common preconditions for poor decision-making.
Brain health and function can be improved by sleep, meditation, exercise and nutrition.
We also need to construct lifestyles that are conducive to calm resilience.
Beyond Rich -summation
One aspect of a successful and abundant life is the self-respect
that comes from trying consistently to behave decently and avoid harming
others.
The freedom to construct a life that aligns authentically
with your passions and peculiarities may be the single greatest luxury that
money can buy.
Resilience is a prerequisite for success in markets and
life.-learn to cope with adversity
Disturbance only comes from within - from our perceptions,
choose not to be harmed and you won't feel harmed. It can ruin your life only
if it ruins your character.
Basically, you can't control what happens to you, you can
only control your attitude towards it. Whether it is good, bad, indifferent,
fair, or unfair, you can choose the attitude you take to it.
You can't control what other people are going to say about
you or think about you. You can control your reactions.
It is within you that both your destruction and destruction deliverance
lie.
No longer allow negative thoughts about yourself or others to
linger in your mind and drain you energy.
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